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DTMagazine Home College Football Week 12 Picks - late games College Football Week 11 Top 25
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Fearless Rick's 2008 College Football Week 12 Picks - Early Games
Rick Gagliano | November 12-15, 2008
All times Eastern - Click here for late games.
Thursday, Nov. 13
7:50 PM Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (-4, 43 1é2 ) - If this point spread seems odd, don't feel like you are alone. Virginia Tech, with 3 losses, is still in a position to win the ACC Coastal division because only two of those losses were in the conference. The Hokies currently share the lead with Miami and North Carolina at 3-2 in the ACC, so this one will go a long way towards determining who gets to the ACC title game.
The Hokies are somewhat less imposing on defense than usual, allowing 20.2 points per contest, a little better than Miami, at 21.9. But it's Virginia Tech's offense that has led to the defensive lapses due to turnovers and 3-and-outs. However, with Sean Glennon healthy and the emergence of RB Darren Evans, who gained 253 yards (school record) in last Thursday's 23-13 win over Maryland, Tech is poised for another run at the title.
All three of VaTech's losses this season have been away from home, but they are 15-3 all-time on Thursday nights, and while Miami is solid and at home, the Hokies love those bright national TV lights.
Prediction: Hokies 24 Hurricanes 22
8:00 PM Cincinnati (-3 1/2, 48 1/2) at Louisville - The Bearcats are tied with West Virginia and Pittsburgh at 3-1 for the Big East lead, and needs to prove they can win on the road against a capable foe for the second week in a row. Last Saturday, they upset West Virginia, 26-23, to gain a leg up in tie-breakers, but they have to avoid a letdown against the Cardinals. It's been and up-and-down season thus far for Louisville. They beat South Florida, but lost their last two - to Syracuse and Pittsburgh - and both games were on the road but very significant.
The Syracuse loss was unexpected, and the loss at Pitt was a 41-7 rout, so the Louisville faithful are hoping for better results at home. The problem is that the Bearcats are loaded on both sides of the ball, while the Cardinals are allowing 25.9 ppg and the offense is way off, at 26.8. Cincy should have little trouble throttling down the Louisville offense and moving up in the polls.
Prediction: Bearcats 31 Cardinals 17
12:00 PM Notre Dame (-3, 50 1/2) at Navy - Upset with his offense, Charlie Weis will be calling the plays for the Irish this Saturday at the Naval Academy. He may be better served paying more attention to Notre Dame's run defense, as they will be facing the #2 rushing offense in the country. The Midshipmen has galloped for 2772 yards in 9 games with their unstoppable option offense. On the other hand, Navy's defense is only so-so, but they should be good enough to handle the Irish, control the clock with their run game and beat Notre Dame for the second straight season.
Prediction: Midshipmen 34 Fighting Irish 29
Sandwiched around that 13-6 loss to the Nittany Lions are a 45-7 win at Michigan State and a 45-10 thumping of Northwestern, also on the road, so being away from the horseshoe doesn't seem to bother the Buckeyes. Besides, Ohio State will be seeking to avenge their only Big 10 loss from '07, a controversial 28-21 win by Illinois.
Prediction: Buckeyes 35 Fighting Illini 19
Texas will take their first step toward at least a BCS bowl game and maybe the big enchilada.
Prediction: Longhorns 49 Jayhawks 24
All times Eastern - Click here for late games
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