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DTMagazine Home Pro Football Week 3 Picks - late games
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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 3 Picks - Early Games
Rick Gagliano | September 21-22
All times Eastern - Click here for late Sunday and Monday night games.
SUN, SEP 21
Kansas City at Atlanta (-5 1/2, 36 1/2) 1:00 PM - It may be a little early in the season to begin quoting stats, but the KC offense is ranked 27th and their defense, 24th of 32 teams. Alternately, the Falcons are 9th on offense and 17th defensively. If this game were in November, it would be a no-brainer blowout, but since we're only two weeks into the season, the numbers may not matter.
Here are maybe more meaningful stats. In 2007, the Chiefs were 0-3 on turf, which is the surface in the Georgia Dome. While Atlanta isn't the greatest team in the NFC, they do look much better than last season and should win this one handily. The Chiefs will start Tyler Thigpen at QB. Right. Who?
Prediction: Falcons 24 Chiefs 9
A win against the Bills would be a shocker, but a close game would not surprise anyone. Oakland may have turned a bit of a corner after their opening-day disaster against the Broncos (a 41-14 loss). The Bills are very solid at home, but JaMarcus Russell and Darren McFadden will make some noise, both here and throughout the season.
Prediction: Bills 20 Raiders 16
The Bucs made the playoffs last season and would like to get there again, but Chicago - a Super Bowl participant from 2006 - looks the more impressive team as Kyle Orton settles into his starting role at QB. The Bears are becoming more disciplined on defense and are injury-free. Also, if any game is going to be UNDER the number this week, this is it.
Prediction: Bears 16 Buccaneers 10
As for the Texans, they have been a disappointment thus far, and also had to take an early bye as Hurricane Ike canceled their meeting with the Ravens last week, so there isn't much to go on here, except that Tennessee is playing very well and they beat Houston twice last year. The score at Tennessee was 28-20. A similar result should occur, though possibly by a lower score.
Prediction: Titans 23 Texans 13
New York is balanced and steady. Eli Manning now has some swagger and coach Coughlin is riding the Super Bowl championship crest, keeping his team focused and prepared. This looks like a classic blowout.
Prediction: Giants 34 Bengals 14
That's no easy task against the resurgent, 2-0, Panthers, who are putting it all together for a return to prominence in the NFC South. Jake Delhomme is solid at the controls for Carolina, but Tarvaris Jackson has been pulled by head coach Brad Childress in favor of Gus Frerotte as the starting QB. That's a big burden for Frerotte, but he's been around the league a long time, knows the Viking offense and should handle the pressure OK.
The Panthers will get an offensive boost with Steve Smith at wideout after his two-game suspension and should win their third straight close call.
Prediction: Panthers 20 Vikings 17
New England has rallied around Cassell, but the offense has struggled in the red zone, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. That issue could be resolved by throwing long to Randy Moss or Wes Welker against the sub-par Dolphin secondary. If Cassell has early success, this one could get out of hand. The Patriot's defense also may not allow a Miami TD.
Prediction: Patriots 31 Dolphins 9
Washington actually dominated the clock against the Saints, had 25 first downs to New Orleans' 15 and rolled up a huge yardage advantage 455-250. The game would not have been close if not for Reggie Bush's 55 yard punt return in the third quarter.
Both teams are performing well on both sides of the ball, but the Redskins at home look like a freight train on offense and a huge boulder on defense. Arizona will be hard-pressed to stay in this one.
Prediction: Redskins 30 Cardinals 17
All times Eastern - Click here for late Sunday and Monday night games
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