NCAA College Football 2009 Week 6 Picks early games

NCAA College Football 2009 Week 6 Picks

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Fearless Rick's 2009 College Football Week 6 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | October 8-10

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, October 8

9:00 pm Nebraska Cornhuskers (-3 1/2, 52 1/2) at Missouri Tigers - Here is the ultimate oddity. The 3-1 Cornhuskers are playing at the 4-0 Tigers. Now, normally, one would like to believe that the oddsmakers know something the bettors don't, but in this case, they may have outsmarted themselves. Sure, the 'Huskers only loss was at West Virginia, and by just one point, but doesn't anyone remember last year's meeting between these two teams? It was a 52-17 blowout by Missouri, and that game was at Nebraska!!!

OK, Nebraska is better, and the Tigers lost Chase Daniel and Jeremy Maclin to graduation, significantly impacting their offense, but Blaine Gabbert has been distributing the ball to Danario Alexander and Jared Perry and others to the tune of 1161 yards and a 66.4% completion percentage.

Mind you, Nebraska is the #1 ranked defense, allowing just 7 points per game, but so was Oklahoma last week, and look what happened to them. Besides, Missouri is not far down the list, at 15.5 ppg, though defense isn't supposed to be their strong suit. While Nebraska is higher up in most of the national polls than Missouri, it isn't significant, and the Mizzou are home for this.

PREDICTION: Tigers 26 Cornhuskers 23

Saturday, October 10

12:00 pm Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies (-13 1/2, 44 1/2) - If you can overlook Boston College's 25-7 loss at Clemson (played mostly in a pouring rain, and the only Clemson TD was on a punt return), the 4-1 Eagles don't look too bad, especially after knocking off Wake Forest two weeks ago and Florida State last week. Now, those games were at home, but the Eagles seem to have a pretty balanced, well-coached team under first year head coach Frank Spazianai. The Eagles run a spread offense, and QB Dave Shinskie has thrown for over 600 yards, 7 TDs and just 2 picks. The running game is headed by Montel Harris, who is averaging 90 yards per game. Overall the Eagles score at an even 30 points per game, just below Tech's 31.4 average.

Defensively, BC is allowing 15.4 ppg to Virginia Tech's 18.4, so why are the Hokies nearly 2 TD favorites? Ranking? That's proven to be the kiss of death this year. Smells like an upset in the making, especially since the Eagles shocked the Hokies 28-23 last year.

PREDICTION: Eagles 31 Hokies 21

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12:20 pm Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers (-1 1/2, 46 1/2) - Widely regarded as having the best defense in the SEC, the Vols get to be the favorite at home against a pretty darn good Georgia squad. For all the credit they've been given, the Volunteers have allowed an average of 19.6 ppg, though some of those games have been against the likes of Florida, UCLA and Auburn, to whom they lost last week, 26-22. This game is Tennessee's third straight at home, and they're surely going to try to give their best effort, because next week they travel to Alabama and they also risk going 2-4 with a loss here.

The Bulldogs have been impressive offensively, but have turned the ball over with consistency, and on defense, they're allowing 27.8 points per game. Tennessee also has the edge on offense, 29.4 ppg to Georgia's 27.2. The line looks right for the home team.

PREDICTION: Volunteeers 30 Bulldogs 24

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3:30 pm Connecticut Huskies at Pittsburgh Panthers (-8. 45 1/2) - The outcome of this game may come as a bit of a surprise to some people, especially those on the Panthers' side of the field. UConn continues to improve seemingly every year and this season looks to be no exception. The Huskies enter this contest with a very solid 3-1 record, an extra week in which to prepare and coming off a resounding 52-10 win over Rhode Island. Their only loss was on a late flukey safety, 12-10, against North Carolina on 9/12. UConn's offense is a mixed bag, but the defense has been money, allowing just 232 yards and 15 points per outing. Those numbers compare favorably to Pitt's - 342 and 18.4.

The 4-1 Panthers are no slouches, earning their first Big East win in a 35-10 romp over outmanned Louisville last week. The offense is clicking at a rate of 37 ppg, but on just 369 yards per. They are big-play oriented and are not a grind-it-out kind of team. UConn will look to pinch in at the corners and funnel everything inside in order to keep the Panthers in check and keep the score close.

PREDICTION: Panthers 31 Huskies 28

3:30 pm Alabama Crimson Tide (-5, 45) at Mississippi Rebels - Alabama has been one of the more reliable Top 10 teams in the nation thus far and this game has national implications. It will be up to the defense to keep Jevan Snead from shredding them and getting a lead in what should be a highly competitive game. It would have been easy to dismiss Mississippi after their Thursday night fiasco at South Carolina, but the Gamecocks came well prepared and the Rebels were probably overconfident. That 16-10 loss may have been more beneficial than a win over an inferior opponent, as the Rebels came back the following week with a nifty 23-7 win at Vanderbilt.

Alabama should be able to slow down the Mississippi offense enough to grab a lead and do what they do best: hammer away with running backs Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson, wearing the opponent down into submission. QB Greg McElroy has also been a pleasant surprise, tossing 9 TDs and just one pick in 5 straight Tide rolls. Wideout Julio Jones has only caught 9 balls this season, but he could break out here with a monster game. Alabama will improve on their 24-20 win over the Rebels from 2008.

PREDICTION: Crimson Tide 31 Rebels 13

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2009, 2010, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.

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