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NCAA College Football 2010-11 Week 10 Picks

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Fearless Rick's 2010-11 College Football Week 10 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 2-6, 2010

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Tuesday, Nov. 2

Middle Tennessee (-2, 59) at Arkansas State, 7:00 pm - These Tuesday night games are usually throw-outs, but if you need the action, well, besides you being a gambling junkie, here's your opportunity. Any game Arkansas State is involved in assures a big score. The lowest point total in any of their eight games (3-5) has been 43, but that's well below the average. Middle Tennessee likes to play the matador defense as well, so, take the Red Wolves over the Blue Raiders. Don't know which is which? Then you shouldn't be betting this game.

Prediction: Red Wolves 34 Blue Raiders 31


Wednesday, Nov. 3

Rutgers at South Florida (-10 1/2, 42), 7:00 pm - Ah, the Big East, the one conference that gets no respect from the pollsters or the computers. Both teams are 4-3, but the Scarlet Knighs of Rutgers are just 1-1 in the conference and are a much more balanced team than South Florida, who's offense has suffered severely this season due to injuries and lack of good recruiting.

Rutgers generally does well as the season extends. They went 5-2 at the back end of 2009, including a 31-0 stomping of these very Bulls and a 45-25 bowl win over UCF. South Florida has a good defense, and that 38-30 win over Cincy on Oct. 22 can be discounted, as the Bearcats have no credible defenders.

Rutgers may very well win this outright, to the dismay of those in the Sunshine State.

Prediction: Scarlet Knights 24 Bulls 17


Thursday, Nov. 4

Buffalo at Ohio (-15 1/2, 45), 7:30 pm - Really, will anybody watch this game? We know that Ohio is one of the better teams of the Mid-American conference, and that the Bulls aren't the same since Turner Gill left for Kansas. Lay the 2 TD plus a point and hope for the best.

Prediction: Bobcats 42 Bulls 17


Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-13, 56), 7:30 pm - At last, a game worthy of ESPN coverage, though this may become a very one-sided affair should the Hokies stuff the Goergia Tech attack, which consists of variations of the spread offense and is dependent on undisciplined defenders. The Hokies are not dominant on defense, but they continue to be special on special teams, so while the Yellow Jackets may find the end zone on a couple of occasions, V-Tech will do so more often. Tyrod Taylor is quickly erasing memories of Michael Vick and the Hokies are on a six-game win streak and looking like the best of the ACC. A win here and you can punch their ticket to the ACC championship and maybe a BCS bowl game.

The issue here is the line, which is likely to continue to expand as evryone jumps on the Hokie bandwagon. The chances of beating Georgia Tech by two TDs are 50-50, at least over the past six years, of which V-Tech has won four times in this series. They're home, they look good, Georgia Tech's defense isn't very stout, so why not?

Prediction: Hokies 38 Yellow Jackets 14


Friday, Nov. 5

UCF (-2 1/2, 61) at Houston, 8:00 pm - The Cougars used to get all the press because they had Case Keenum, but he's gone for the season. The Knights have been playing well and just knocked off East Carolina last week, considered to be one of the best in Conference-USA. Both teams can really light up the scoreboard, but the Knights have a little bit better defense, which isn't saying much, but may be the difference here. Look for both of these teams come bowl season, but UCF will probably get a better look as they may possibly play Northern Illinois for the conference title.

Prediction: Kinghts 41 Cougars 30


Saturday, Nov. 6

Air Force (-6 1/2, 49) at Army, 12:00 pm - If running with the football is your thing, this is your game. Air Force leads the nation in rushing and the Black Knights of West Point are 8th nationally. The difference is about 100 yards per game for the Falcons, who have been known to throw the ball on occasion and that could be the difference. Both teams play pretty rugged schedules, so this should be a good one.

Army plays their games tight, with their three losses coming to Hawaii, by three; Rutgers, again by three; and Temple, by seven. Look for them to keep it close and maybe pull off the upset.

Prediction: Falcons 23 Black Knights 20


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Maryland at Miami (-6 1/2, 48 1/2), 12:00 pm - All of a sudden this is a big game because Maryland has surged to a 6-2 record (3-1, ACC) and is challenging Florida State and NC State in the ACC Atlantic. At the same time, the Hurricanes have kind of blown (pun intended) the season, especially after their loss to Virginia last weekend. The feeling in south Florida is that of a team without expectations, now that a national championship is well out of the picture. Coach Randy Shannon doesn't seem able to motivate his troops, something Ralph Friedgen has done with the Terps.

Maryland has been successful beating up on lesser foes like Duke and Wake Forest, while losing big at both West Virginia (out of conference) and Clemson. They need to find a way to win on the road and the Hurricanes may just afford them the opportunity.

Prediction: Terrapins 27 Hurricanes 24


North Carolina State at Clemson (-3, 50), 12:00 pm - There are a number of reasons why Clemson is favored here, one of them being the fact that the Wolfpack hasn't beaten them since Phillip Rivers was behind center in 2003. Six straight wins and home field will turn heads, but the Tigers are only 2-3 in the conference, while North Carolina state's only ACC loss was to powerful Virginia Tech.

Neither team is awesome offensively, though the Wolfpack seems to be more efficient and that will serve them well on the road, as will avoiding turnovers. If there was ever a team that looked like it would love to end being dominated, this NC State squad is it. They have mental toughness and are seeking the top spot in the ACC Atlantic.

Prediction: Wolfpack 31 Tigers 27


Louisville at Syracuse (-6, 44 1/2), 12:00 pm - It's been some time since Syracuse made it to the featured games here, though this will be their second mention this season. The last time, they ended up losing to Pittsburgh, huge. But since then they've managed amazing road wins over West Virginia and Cincinnati.

The key to the Orange success has been their defense. In their six wins they've allowed just 54 points, or an average of nine per game. That's really getting it done, and should they finally get their groove on in the dome at home, they could bring back memories of glory days with Donovan McNabb, Dwight Freeney and Marvin Harrison.

Prediction: Orangemen 23 Cardinals 10


Baylor at Oklahoma State (-7 1/2, 73), 12:30 pm - This is a must-win game for both clubs, but one has to respect the resurgent Bears, who may not have quite the offense of Oklahoma State (tied for 3rd nationally with Utah at 45.3 ppg), they do possess something the Cowboys do not: a half-game lead in the Big 12 South and a chance to put down one of their main pursuers.

Obviously, the oddsmakers don't believe in the Baylor ballyhoo, installing the Cowboys as 7 1.2 point home favorites, but the Bears are playing with great emotion, just beat Texas and have the opportunity for another huge road win. If they can avoid the obvious emotional letdown, they'll keep this one within range into the 4th quarter and may even pull off the upset. In reality, their defense may make them the better team here.

Prediction: Bears 34 Cowboys 30

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2010, 2011, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.

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