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NFL Pro Football 2011 Week 10 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 10 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 10-14

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, Nov. 10

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-7, 48) 8:20 pm - With KC, Oakland and San Diego all tied at 4-4 and Denver just a game back at 3-5 in the AFC West, the division is truly up for grabs and this NFL Network broadcast will be a key game toward determining who makes the playoffs.

San Diego fell a TD short of Green Bay last week, losing their third straight, 45-38, while the Raiders were being Tebow'ed by Denver, 38-24, their second straight loss.

These two have not met this season, but the Raiders took both games last season and this one figures to be close, maybe won by a late Janikowski field goal from about 54 yards out.

Prediction: Raiders 27 Chargers 24

Sunday, Nov. 13

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (even, 50) 1:00 pm - The last three games played between these two have all resulted in 3-point victories, two by the Saints in Atlanta and one by the Falcons at the Superdome.

While the Falcon faithful would like to see their squad win over the NFC South rival Saints at home, Drew Brees (leads the league with 3004 yards passing) obviously has other ideas. New Orleans is clinging to a 1/2 game lead in the division, so winning here is crucial to avoid being dragged down into the wild card pool.

The Saints are second in the league in scoring, at 31.9 ppg. Atlanta is well down the list, averaging 23.6 ppg.
The Falcons have a small edge on defense, plus home field, but the Saints are due for a road win and the Falcons are just 1-4 over their last five home games with the Saints.

Prediction: Saints 30 Falcons 27

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-3, 46 1/2) 1:00 pm - Chicago stunned the Eagles Monday night, 30-24, and must regroup quickly to match up with the Lions, 45-10 winners at Denver prior to taking a bye last week.

This is the second and last regular season meeting of these NFC North foes, the first game won by Detroit, at home, 24-13, and with Chicago a game behind the Lions, a win here is a must, though the Lions have the edge on both sides of the ball, statistically speaking.

Detroit thrives on turnovers and quick strikes to their flotilla of receivers, averaging over two take-aways per game thus far, and, with Jay Cutler's penchant for throwing the odd duck, turnovers could play a huge role in this contest.

Prediction: Lions 31 Bears 24

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 41 1/2) at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00 pm - As hard as it may be to believe, the Bengals are actually 1/2 game ahead of Pittsburgh in the AFC North standings after the Ravens drilled the Steelers 23-20, Sunday night.

The Bengals won their fifth straight with a comeback, 24-17 victory at Tennessee in which the defense held the Titans scoreless in the second half and their defense will be key to a home win over their division rival.

Cincy has recorded 36 sacks this season, so expect some heat on Ben Roethlisberger. For the Bengals, QB Andy Dalton is having a remarkable rookie season and a home win in a huge game will pad his credentials.

Prediction: Bengals 19 Steelers 16

Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (-3, 46) 1:00 pm - The 2-6 Panthers have relied on rookie QB Cam Newton to spark their offense and he's done an incredible job, but the defense is ranked 28th in scoring and their two wins were over Jacksonville and Washington, a couple of low-output squads similar to Tennessee.

Though the Titans are 4-4, they just don't look like a playoff type of team, and the Panthers can even their home record at 3-3 with a win.

Prediction: Panthers 21 Titans 14

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Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 38) at Indianapolis Colts 1:00 pm - The Colts are a study in futility at 0-9 and have lost their last three games by a combined 96 points, so it should be relatively light work for the Jaguar defense, which has allowed just 20.4 points per game, even though the Jags' offense is scoring just 12.3 ppg, a league low.

Indy is ranked 30th on offense, scoring 14.2 ppg, but is last in defense, giving up a ghastly 31.4 ppg, but this is a game the Colts can win, at home, against a slumbering offense.

Prediction: Colts 20 Jaguars 10

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 41) 1:00 pm - Tim Tebow fever has caught on in Denver after the quarterback with all the flaws got the job done against Oakland, on the road, 38-24, last week.

Kansas City suffers from lethargy on offense, scoring just 16.4 ppg, while Tebow has given the Denver offense a big boost. The Chiefs allow 120 yards rushing per game, a figure Tebow may gain on his own.

Denver's stock is rising with an unconventional QB with a burning desire to win. Tebow will get a hero's welcome when the Broncos head back home next week.

Prediction: Broncos 31 Chiefs 23

Houston Texans (-3, 45 1/2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00 pm - The Bucs have taken their lumps, losing their last two games to the Bears and Saints, while the Texans are on a three-game winning roll, the defense leading the way by allowing Tennessee, Jacksonville and Cleveland to score a total of 33 points in those wins.

Of course, Houston's winning ways are predicated by their high-octane offense, the 6th-best in the league at 26.2 ppg.

Tampa Bay is just 3-5 ATS, while the Texans are a solid 6-3.

Prediction: Texans 23 Buccaneers 17

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins (-4, 37 1/2) 1:00 pm - Well, win a game and see what happens? The 1-7 Dolphins are favorites at home over the slumping Redskins, losers of four straight including last week's 19-11 home loss to the 49ers.

Washington's defense isn't that bad, but the offense has hit the skids since John Beck took over as the starting quarterback.

Miami has been playing well of late, and their 31-3 romp at Kansas City last week was a solid, team effort.

Prediction: Dolphins 24 Redskins 13

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2011, 2012, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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