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NCAA College Football 2012-13 Week 14 Picks - late games
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Fearless Rick's 2012-13 College Football Week 14 - late Games
All times Eastern - Click here for early games.
3:30 pm Cincinnati (-5 1/2, 40 1/2) at Connecticut - Though neither of these teams can take the Big east title, Cincinnati is a quality unit, while the Huskies have turned their season around a degree, winning two straight - over Pitt and Louisville, no less - after a 3-6 start to reach the brink of bowl eligibility, so this is a game worth paying attention to for future purposes.
At 8-3, one can hardly fault the Bearcats in their losses - by a combined 16 points, at Toledo, at Louisville and home to Rutgers, and they will likely win, though UConn is home, playing well and getting points, so this figures to be a close call. Take those home dog points to the bank.
Prediction: Bearcats 24 Huskies 20
In what seems to be a continuing trend this championship week, home field advantage has been thrown out the window by the Vegas oddsmakers, and that's usually a mistake this late in the season, where teams generally have figured out what they do best and how to prevent big mistakes.
Boise fell just short of perfection with a 9-2 record, their two losses by four points at Michigan State and two points to aforementioned San Diego State, though two of their wins have been by one and three points, making Nevada the choice to cover.
Prediction: Broncos 33 Wolfpack 24
Both teams come in at 11-1, though the Bulldogs are sporting a six-game win streak since their only loss at South Carolina, by a 35-7 score, on October 6.
The Crimson Tide felt the sting of defeat more recently, and at home, when Johnny Football and the Texas A&M Aggies dusted them, 29-24, just two weeks ago.
Alabama allows a nation's best 9.3 points per game, though the Bulldogs aren't too shabby defensively, giving opponents just 17.7 per outing.
The pair are nearly equal on offense. Alabama scores 39 points per game to Georgia's 38 making this one figure much closer than the odds indicate. Georgia may be underdogs on paper, but on the field they are every bit as good as Alabama and will prove it.
Prediction: Bulldogs 23 Crimson Tide 20
Florida State compiled a superior 10-2 record, despite their second half implosion against the Florida Gators last week in a 37-26 loss. Their only other defeat was by one point, at NC State, their only loss - and only close conference game - winning the Atlantic division with a 7-1 record, by virtue of a win over Clemson, also 7-1.
Georgia Tech won a three-way tie in the Coastal division, topping North Carolina but losing to Miami, all three finishing with 5-3 conference records, the Yellow Jackets reaching the championship game because Miami was ineligible for post-season play. Also, the Yellow Jackets were too often victims, going just 6-6 overall, losing big to Clemson, iddle Tennessee, BYU and last week to arch-rival Georgia, 42-10.
Against one of the best defenses in the country, the Jackets have little chance here.
Prediction: Seminoles 38 Yellow Jackets 17
This year the roles are reversed, as is the locale. Kansas State is home, where they are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. Texas has had its ups and downs, the most recent direction being down, as they lost to TCU, 20-13, after reeling off four straight wins.
Even though Kansas State's record was blemished in a 52-24 loss at Baylor last weekend, they should rebound nicely and make a solid BCS appearance in January.
Prediction: Wildcats 38 Longhorns 24
7-5 Wisconsin got the chance to play in this game with a 4-4 conference record because both teams that finished ahead of them in the Leaders division - Ohio State and Penn State have been ruled out of post-season play by the NCAA.
Both teams were blistered by ineligible and undefeated Ohio State, the Cornhuskers absolutely blown out 63-38, while the Badgers took the Buckeyes to overtime in a 21-14. The Badgers also lost last week, 24-21, at Penn State, tarnishing their season even further.
It would be a shame for Nebraska to not represent the Big Ten in a BCS bowl, but they'll have to do better than their narrow three-point win to prevent the Badgers from stealing the limelight. They should get it done, though Wisconsin will put up a good fight.
Prediction: Cornhuskers 24 Badgers 19
All times Eastern - Click here for early games
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