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NCAA College Football 2012-13 Week 4 Picks

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Fearless Rick's 2012-13 College Football Week 4 - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | September 20-22, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, September 20

9:00 pm Brigham Young at Boise State (-7 1/2, 48) - BYU is coming off a tough, 24-21, road loss at Utah, and the Cougars are only 4-8 in their last 12 road games, though that's not as bad as Boise State's 2-6 record ATS at home.

The Broncos are rebuilding somewhat after six years of exceptional play, landing in prominent bowl games every year. They opened their season with a 17-13 loss at Michigan State, but, after a week off, took care of business at home with a 39-12 beating of Miami (OH).

There should be plenty of defense, which will help the Cougars hang around for a chance to win late.

Prediction: BYU 23 Boise State 20

Friday, September 21

8:00 pm Baylor (-8, 68 1/2) at Louisiana-Monroe - No good reason why the line on this is so low. Baylor is probably three touchdowns better than the Warhawks, which has gotten a reputation for beating Arkansas, a team that was self-destructing anyhow. They also took Auburn the distance, losing 31-28, but easily covering the fat 14 1/2 point spread

Baylor, even without the services of graduated RG3, is still a quality program with plenty of talented athletes. The Bears opened their season with a 59-24 romp over SMU and a 48-23 win over Sam Houston.

Mixed messages in terms of trends as Baylor has won five straight, but is 0-5 ATS their last five on the road. Still, trends have their ends, and this one looks about finished as the Bears should easily cover this line.

Prediction: Bears 38 Warhawks 20

Saturday, September 22

12:00 pm UTEP at Wisconsin (-16, 48) - The Badgers are still reeling from their 10-7 loss at Oregon State on September 8, and barely got by Utah State, winning 16-14, at home last week.

Wisconsin doesn't have much in the way of offensive punch, so it's difficult to see how they can cover the big line. However, the Miners started the season 0-2, losing to Oklahoma, 24-7 and Mississippi, 28-10, either result would be more than enough for wisconsin to cover.

The feeling is that the Badgers will open up the offense a bit and the defense will take care of the rest. Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS this season, and that's not a trend which will continue long.

Prediction: Badgers 34 Miners 13

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3:00 pm Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech (-13 1/2, 62) - The Hurricanes were absolutely mauled by the Wildcats of Kansas State two weeks ago and that game serves notice that the Miami program is not back to anywhere near Top 25 caliber. Their opening week, 41-32, win at Boston College was no easy win, though the 'Canes did cover the smallish 2-point line.

After an opening loss at Virginia Tech, 20-17, the Yellow Jackets appear to have found their stride, albeit against lesser opponents. They stuffed Presbyterian, 59-3, then handed Virginia a 56-20 bombing las week.

Both teams are coming off wins, but Miami doesn't seem to have a quality defense and that's going to hurt their chances against the Yellow Jackets, even though the Hurricanes have won the last three in this annual battle.

Prediction: Yellow Jackets 45 Hurricanes 24

3:30 pm Missouri at South Carolina (-10, 48 1/2) - South Carolina will be without its best player in the secondary, as D.J. Swearinger has been suspended because of a violent hit against a UAB receiver last week in the Gamecocks' 49-6 smack-down.

Missouri's QB, James Franklin is a game-time decision, and whether or not he plays will have an impact in this showdown of SEC teams.

With or without Franklin, Missouri is going to find the SEC tougher than the Big 12, as they play their first season in a new conference. Already having been pounded by Georgia, 41-20, the Mizzou are in for a rough outing against the Gamecocks, who are 5-0 in their most recent home games.

Prediction: Gamecocks 34 Tigers 10

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3:30 pm Oregon State at UCLA (-10, 54) - The Beavers have played only one came, so it's tough to get a feel for this team that finished 2011 with a 3-9 mark. Their only start resulted in a 10-7 win over Wisconsin at home, but they're on the road at the Bruins, and are just 1-8 ATS against UCLA, dating back to 2001.

The way 3-0 UCLA is going, scoring at a 40.7 ppg clip, it will be difficult, if not impossible, for the Beavers to keep pace for long. The UCLA defense is coming around as well, another bad sign for Oregon State.

The Bruins allowed 24 points by Rice and 30 by Nebraska, but won both games. They hammered Houston, 37-6, in an all-around fine performance and will roll on here.

Prediction: Bruins 38 Beavers 20

6:00 pm California at USC (-16, 57) - USC is still trying to assess their 21-14 loss to Stanford last week, but it should be pointed out that the Cardinal has topped the Trojans four straight years, so the result was not much of a surprise.

Cal is just 1-2 entering the fray, having lost 31-24 to Nevada and 35-28 at Ohio State, sandwiching a 50-31 win over Southern Utah in between.

Southern Cal has won the last five meetings, mostly by wide margins. The last time these two met at USC, the Bruins notched a 48-14 victory and that seems to be where this one is headed, toward blowout-land.

Prediction: Trojans 44 Golden Bears 21

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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