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Fearless Rick's 2012-13 College Football Week 6 - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | October 4-6, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, October 4

9:00 pm USC (-14, 47) at Utah - College football opens the week with PAC-12 action, as the Trojans look to keep pace with Arizona State (2-0, conference) and crosstown rival UCLA, with one loss.

Matt Barkley leads an offense scoring at 33 points per game for the Trojans, against the Utes, averaging just 23 ppg, while allowing 21.3, not much of a spread. USC should easily handle 2-2 Utah, which was pounded at Arizona State last week, 37-7. Expect a similar outcome here, under the nationally-televised lights of EPN.

Prediction: Trojans 38 Utes 6

Friday, October 5

7:00 pm Pittsburgh (-2, 58) at Syracuse - At 1-3, the Orange are in desperate need of a win, though the Panthers may have other ideas after upending Virginia Tech, 35-17, three weeks ago. SU losses haven't been that bad, losing to Northwestern, 42-41 in OT in their opener, 42-29, vs. USC in week 2 and 17-10 at Minnesota on September 22.

With an extra week of rest, the Orange should have worked out all the kinks on both offense and defense in preparation for an ancient rival. Pitt's first Big East tilt should come up snake-eyes.

Prediction: Orange 31 Panthers 23

10:15 pm Utah State at Brigham Young (-7, 45 1/2) - This annual in-state rivalry has lost some of its luster since BYU has two losses,

The last time these two met at Utah State, it was the Aggies coming out on top 35-17 in 2010. Last season's game at BYU produced a 27-24 win for the Cougars.

The defensive-minded Aggies (14.2 ppg allowed) seek to reach 5-1, their only loss a 16-14 setback at Wisconsin on September 15. Utah State should be able to handle a balanced BYU attack in a low-scoring contest. The Cougars are fourth-best in the country, allowing just 10 points per outing.

Prediction: Aggies 17 Cougars 13

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Saturday, October 6

11:30 AM Navy at Air Force (-10, 55 1/2) - An armed forces specialty game in which the Mountain West Falcons have significant advantages, or so it appears statistically, though 1-3 Navy will grind the clock with their option offense and try to keep the Air Force offense off the field.

Last year's contest between these two ended in a 35-34 victory for Air Force at Annapolis. Shifting the locale to the West might encourage the Midshipmen and result in a similar score, so, take the points and enjoy all the clock-runnng the Navy ground assault which has produced only 14 1/2 points per game on average this season, vs. 37.8 for the high-flying Falcons.

Prediction: Falcons 27 Midshipmen 24

12:00 pm Kansas at Kansas State (-24, 51 1/2) - The Jayhawks produce, on average, 21 points per game, while the Wildcats are ringing up, on average, 40.5, through four games with a rugged ground game supplemented by well-timed passing downs.

The K-State defense gets the job done quite adequately, allowing just 15.5 points per contest and that should be the difference. If Kansas can't generate at least three touchdowns, this one has highly-ranked Kansas state written all over it.

Prediction: Wildcats 41 Jayhawks 13

3:00 Arizona at Stanford (-9, 54) - Arizona is 3-2, but their two losses have come over the past two weekends, to Oregon, 49-0, and Oregon State, 38-35, a more solid showing. The Cardinal is still reeling over last week's 17-13 loss at Washington last Thursday and the additional time to prepare for this home game should give them an edge.

Stanford's ground game should produce better results and keep the score down by controlling the clock, and Arizona's defense, allowing 28.4 ppg does not appear to have enough stopping power to slow the Cardinal.

Stanford has lost just once at home since late in 2009, and they pounded the Wildcats, 37-10, last season. It may be even worse this time around.

Prediction: Cardinal 42 Wildcats 9

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3:30 pm Oklahoma (-5, 58 1/2) at Texas Tech - The Sooners need to get back on track after their 24-19 loss to Kansas State and the defense knows the way, giving up just 14.7 ppg, but Texas Tech has shown even better, allowing only 10 per contest.

With the Red Raiders scoring at a 43.8 per game clip, to 37.3 for the Sooners, this line seems out of whack until one considers the quality of opposition each team has faced. Despite being on the road, 2-1 Oklahoma should dominate.

Prediction: Sooners 38 Red Raiders 31

3:30 pm LSU (-2 1/2, 44) at Florida - Despite their 5-0 record, the LSU Tigers have not looked impressive against quality opposition, which is why the line here is such a slim one.

Also weighing on this game is Florida's perfect, 4-0, record and a 3-0 mark inside the conference, with wins over Texas A&M, Tennessee and Kentucky, the first two coming on the road and the last one resulting in a 38-0 whitewash.

Florida's notorious "Swamp" is a rough place to play and the Gators appear poised to spring the upset. Consider the line to be based mostly on reputation, not actual ability when it comes to LSU. Play this one with confidence.

Prediction: Gators 31 Tigers 24

3:30 pm Georgia Tech at Clemson (-10 1/2, 74) - Prepare for an offensive onslaught as Clemson is clicking at 40.2 ppg offensively, with the Yellow Jackets checking in at 39.2. Neither team is special on defense, so a track meet might ensue where fans were expecting football.

Georgia Tech has developed a nasty habit of giving up big plays, resulting in home losses to Miami (FL), 42-36, and Middle Tennessee, 49-28, over the past two weeks.

Clemson's only loss was a 49-37 defeat at 5-0 Florida State and, with this being their first conference home game expect an explosion from one of the nation's most potent offenses.

Prediction: Tigers 54 Yellow Jackets 31

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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