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NFL Pro Football 2012 Week 10 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 10 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 8-12, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Bye: Arizona, Cleveland, Green Bay, Washington

Thursday, November 8

Indianapolis (-3 1/2, 42 1/2) at Jacksonville 8:20 pm - The 5-3 Colts have accounted for all of their wins by six points or less, but there's a distinct feeling around the league that the 1-7 Jaguars may be the worst team in the NFL.

While Indianapolis is -32 in point differential, Jacksonville is -102, third-worst in the league. The Colts aren't exactly lighting it up offensively, scoring an average of 19.9 ppg, the Jags are dead last in the league, at 14.6.

This could be a fairly close contest or it could turn into a blowout should Andrew Luck and the Colts exploit one of the most porous secondaries, allowing 255.5 pass yards per game, 25th overall. In any case, scoring opportunities should be plentiful.

Prediction: Colts 34 Jaguars 20

Sunday, November 11

Denver (-4, 47) at Carolina 1:00 pm - The Panthers finally got off the schneid, winning, 21-13, at Washington last week to break a five-game losing streak. For their efforts they get a home game against the fourth-highest-scoring team n the league, spearheaded by QB Peyton Manning, who has led the Broncos to a 5-3 record and first place in the AFC West.

Denver has proven troublesome to all defenses, and, even though Carolina has been OK against both the run and the pass, they are a touch below the level of Denver and their offense can't be expected to match the Colts point-for-point.

Denver has won three straight and should roll to 6-3 with a handy win on the road.

Prediction: Broncos 30 Panthers 23

San Diego at Tampa Bay (-3, 47 1/2) 1:00 pm - This coastal encounter should favor the home team, as Tampa has won two in a row, while the Chargers just broke a three-game losing skid with a 31-13 win over Kansas City, which isn't saying much (the Chiefs are 1-7).

The Chargers have been hampered by injuries, age and a lack of receivers for QB Phillip Rivers, who has been feeling the heat from opposing pass rushes.

Have to consider that if Josh Freeman gets to play his game, the Buccaneers have an edge, if only for the jet lag factor the Chargers will be experiencing.

Prediction: Buccaneers 26 Chargers 20

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Tennessee at Miami (-6, 44) 1:00 pm - While these two teams are nearly equals on offense (21.3 ppg for Miami; 20.2 for the Titans), Tennessee is allowing an average of 34.2 points per outing, while the Dolphins are among the league's best defensively, giving up just 18.6 points, on average.

The Dolphins have won three of the last four in this series, dating back to 2005, which isn't much help in handicapping this contest.

Tennessee matches up well against teams that are .500 or worse, witness their two recent wins over the Bills and Steelers, and the Miami offense isn't likely to overpower Tennessee defenders, so a game closer than this line indicates should be in order.

Prediction: Dolphins 24 Titans 20

Buffalo at New England (-11, 51) 1:00 pm - This may be the easiest pick of the weekend, as the Bills are reeling with losses in four of their last five appearances, including last weekend's sluggish effort in a 21-9 loss at Houston.

Besides the ineffectiveness of the Bills' offense, their defense is allowing an even 31 points per game, and the Patriots already have a win - at Buffalo - on the books, a 52-28 runaway, back on September 30.

Making matters even more worrisome, the Pats have won four of their last five and are coming off a bye and are at home, all factors which should lead to an absolute trouncing.

Prediction: Patriots 38 Bills 13

Oakland at Baltimore (-8, 46 1/2) 1:00 pm - At 6-2, the Ravens are a game up on Pittsburgh in the AFC North, which definitely provides motivation to keep on winning. Baltimore is especially tough at home, where they are 4-0 and have won those games by an average of 10.25 points, though two of those wins were by one point over New England and two points over Dallas.

The Ravens had a four game win streak broken by the Texans, going into the the October 28 bye, and came back with a nice, 25-15, road win over the Browns, a team which the ravens routinely pound once or twice a season.

The 3-5 Raiders don't travel well, going 1-3 on the road this season. Tough trip East for Oakland and another double-digit win for the Ravens looks like a near-certainty.

Prediction: Ravens 35 Raiders 13

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NY Giants (-4 1/2, 48 1/2) at Cincinnati 1:00 pm - Andy Dalton has proven a real asset for the Bengals, but the defense has been a real letdown, allowing 27.3 points per game at the halfway point of the season, and it doesn't seem to be getting any better, with the Bengals in the midst of a four-game losing streak, having allowed 34, 24 and 31 in their past three prior losses.

New York took one on the chin at home against the Steelers last Sunday, losing 24-20, giving up an early lead and being held scoreless in the fourth quarter for the first time this season.

Obviously, the Bengals don't possess the defensive prowess of the Steelers, and Eli Manning has made a habit of coming back strong after tough losses. This should be one of those times.

Prediction: Giants 32 Bengals 23

Atlanta (-2 1/2, 53 1/2) at New Orleans 1:00 pm - Looking for the upset of the week? Look no further than this game, as the 3-5 Saints are now playing for their playoff lives and need to string together some wins to catch the rest of the wild card hopefuls.

This is the first meeting of these NFC South foes this season, who will get reacquainted in less than three weeks when the Falcons host the Saints on Thursday night, November 29.

After their 28-13 win over the inept Eagles, the New Orleans defense will have to perform at a high level to stop the Atlanta offense, which is clicking for 27.5 points per game. The Saints are putting up 27.3.

New Orleans is 3-0 ATS and SU against Atlanta, their last three, looking to hand Atlanta their initial loss of the season. Drew Brees and company get it done.

Prediction: Saints 33 Falcons 30

Detroit (-2, 47) at Minnesota 1:00 pm - Apparently heading in opposite directions, the Vikings have lost two straight while the Lions have won two in a row, but still trail Minnesota by a half game in the standings, at 4-4, to Minny's 5-4 record.

Minnesota has already beaten the Lions once this season, a 20-13 win in Detroit back on September 30, though they've hit something of a speed bump since winning two and losing three.

The Vikes are a solid 4-1 at home; the Lions, 2-3, as roadies. This line is skewed by the teams' recent records, even though the Lions are a poor 1-4-2 in their last seven against Minnesota. A late field goal should do the trick.

Prediction: Vikings 23 Lions 20

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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