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NFL Pro Football 2012 Week 11 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 11 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 15-19, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Bye: Minnesota, NY Giants, Seattle, Tennessee

Thursday, November 15

Miami at Buffalo (-1, 45) 8:20 pm - battle at the bottom of AFC East, with the Dolphins closest to the 6-3 Patriots at 4-5, while the Bills come in at 3-6, tied with the hopeless Jets.

Miami has won three of the last four meetings, including sweeping the series, 35-8, in Miami and, 30-23, at Buffalo last season.

The Bills come off a heart-breaking, 37-31 lass at New England, their third straight loss; Miami has dropped their last two, including last weekend's 37-3 stomping by the Titans. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS their last eight vs. the Dolphins, a trend that should not end.

Prediction: Dolphins 30 Bills 26

Sunday, November 18

Philadelphia at Washington (-3 1/2, 44) 1:00 pm - With Michael out due to a concussion suffered last week against the Cowboys, Nick Foles takes the reigns as QB for the 3-6 Eagles, making this game one with two starting rookie QB, the Redskins continuing to stick with Robert Griffin III.

The Redskins are also 3-6 and pretty much out of the playoff picture, but are 2-3 at home. The Eagles are 1-3 on the road and are now riding a five-game losing skein.

Foles may be the future of the Eagles, as Vick is reportedly going to be "rested" the remainder of the season, but the future is not now and the 'Skins need a win badly here, having dropped their last three.

Prediction: Redskins 27 Eagles 17

Green Bay (-3, 51 1/2) at Detroit 1:00 pm - Both teams have playoff aspirations, though the Packers may be the more realistic choice at 6-3, compared to Detroit's 4-5 record.

This is the first meeting of the season between these NFC North foes, but the Packers have owned the Lions, winning nine of the last ten and covering in seven of those games, including four of the pst five meetings in Motor City.

Should be more of the same as the Packer offense is beginning to cook, whereas the Lions often sputter, having already lost all three of their divisional games this season.

Prediction: Packers 41 Lions 17

Arizona at Atlanta (-10 1/2, 44) 1:00 pm - Coming off their first loss of the season Matt Ryan and company seek to rebound against the 4-5 Cardinals who have dropped five in a row after a 4-0 start.

The good news is that the Vards are coming off a bye week and most of their defense has remained healthy.

Both teams are solid defensively, the Cardinals allowing 19.2 points and just 194.6 yards passing per game, which will contribute to keeping this one close and potentially give Arizona a chance to win late.

Prediction: Falcons 24 Cardinals 23

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Tampa Bay (-1 1/2, 48) at Carolina 1:00 pm - A divisional match-up of arguably more importance to the Bucs, as they've won three straight and are in the hunt for a playoff spot.

Carolina is just 2-7 and should be about as loose as a team can be, especially if QB Cam Newton grows up a little, quits whining and starts playing like the superb athlete he is.

These two NFC South squads meet twice a year and know each other well. The games are generally close, as was the season opener at Tampa Bay, where the Buccaneers came away with a 16-10 victory. Look for the Panthers to hold down the Tampa offense and get some timely turnovers en route to a win.

Prediction: Panthers 23 Buccaneers 17

Cleveland at Dallas (-7 1/2, 43 1/2) 1:00 pm - Face it, Cleveland fans, this team is just plain bad and maybe two years from even contemplating a playoff spot.

Bad management, a poor draft and some on-field fiascos have resulted in a 2-7 record and another season of despair along the shore of Lake Erie.

Dallas needs to keep winning games such as this in order to stay close to the Giants or qualify for a wild card spot. Should be an easy win for the Cowpokes.

Prediction: Cowboys 33 Browns 13

NY Jets at St. Louis (-3, 38 1/2) 1:00 pm - It's simply impossible to pick the Jets as long as Mark Sanchez remains the quarterback. The move should have been made to Tim Tebow, a proven winner who plays with enthusiasm and a willingness to do anything to win not often seen in NFL professionals.

The 3-6 Jets have dropped their last three straight and are 1-3 on the road this season. The Rams aren't much better, but at least they played the 49ers to a draw last week and haven't yet given up on the season, as have many of the Jets' players.

Prediction: Rams 24 Jets 14

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Indianapolis at New England (-9, 53 1/2) 1:00 pm - Now here's an interesting game and possibly the most entertaining of the weekend. Tom Brady has the Patriots comfortably atop the AFC East by two games over Miami, while the Colts have reeled off four straight wins behind rookie QB Andrew Luck.

Both teams are 6-3, seeking the playoffs - though Indy probably won't catch Houston in the South division - but the line seems to understate the incredible turnaround the Colts have undergone, so the points will come in handy, unless, of course, Luck shines in Foxboro.

Prediction: Patriots 30 Colts 28

Jacksonville at Houston (-15, 40 1/2) 1:00 pm - Easily the largest spread on the board this week, the Texans should have no problems at home against the Jags, possibly the league's worst team.

These two are going in opposite directions, but the playoff potentialities of the Texans are going in one direction only: straight up.

Prediction: Texans 38 Jaguars 10

Cincinnati (-3, 43 1/2) at Kansas City 1:00 pm - Another seeming mismatch has the 4-5 Bengals - who have lost games they should have and could have won before breaking out against the Giants last week - visiting the 1-8 Chiefs who really have little going for them other than being at home, though they are winless in four tries this season on home grass.

The Bengals have enough talent on both sides of the ball to reach the playoffs, given the right situation, but they have to start stringing wins together and this would b a good beginning.

Prediction: Bengals 28 Chiefs 13

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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