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NFL Pro Football 2012 Week 16 Picks

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Pro Football Week 16 Picks - late games


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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 16 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | December 22-24, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Saturday, December 22

Atlanta (-4 1/2, 51) at Detroit 8:30 pm - The Falcons crushed the Giants last Sunday, 34-0, while the Lions were being tamed by the Cardinals, 38-10, indicating that some Detroit players are simply out on the field trying to avoid injury.

There's a lot of dissension in the Motor City, where the Lions are just 1-4 ATS their last five home games vs. Atlanta.

The line seems a bit short, especially considering that Detroit has lost six straight and the Falcons can wrap up home field throughout the playoffs with a victory. A meaningful game for Atlanta generally means a strong effort and a win.

Prediction: Falcons 34 Lions 21

Sunday, December 23

Tennessee at Green Bay (-13, 46) 1:00 pm - The Titans just barely slipped by the Jets on Monday night, 14-10, even though New York committed five turnovers. Tennessee's offense is one of the worst in the league; the only way they won that game with the Jets was because the Jets were absolutely horrid.

Green Bay wrapped up the NFC North last week by topping the Bears, 21-13, and they have a chance of snagging a bye in the first round of the playoffs, pending results from San Francisco.

The Packer defense is getting healthier (Charles Woodson is still out, though Clay Mattews is probable) and all starters are going to play for Green Bay. The line is a little long here, and a Packer win is quite probable, but the points and Titan defense is the play.

Prediction: Packers 27 Titans 19

Oakland at Carolina (-9, 46) 1:00 pm - Even though the Raiders are 4-10 and Carolina is 5-9, the Panthers are a much better team, holding statistical advantage both offensively and defensively.

Carolina has won three of their last four, the last two being a surprise 30-20 win over the Falcons two weeks back and last week's 31-7 trouncing of the Chargers in San Diego.

Oakland snapped a six game losing streak with a 15-0 shutout of Kansas City, which isn't saying much, and the Raiders are just 1-5 on the road this season. Oakland is also a miserable 4-10 ATS, but, besides the Denver game two weeks ago, this is the most points they've received all year. Neither team has nothing to play for except pride and maybe next year's job, so an upset could be brewing.

Prediction: Raiders 20 Panthers 17

Buffalo at Miami (-4 1/2, 41 1/2) 1:00 pm - A win by the Bills would tie these two at 6-9 and - unbelievable, but true - the winner could eventually end up in second place in the awful AFC East.

The Bills have an on-agan, off-again offense, but Miami has one of the better defenses in the conference, but the Bills won the first meeting about a month ago in Buffalo, 19-13. Figure Miami's defense to get the job done and the offense take advantage of some of the things that worked against the Bills the first time around.

Miami has won and covered three of the last four meetings with the Bills at home and Buffalo has a bad habit of giving up points late in the game. Good for the fish.

Prediction: Dolphins 24 Bills 14

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Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-3 1/2, 43) 1:00 pm - Absolutely one of the key games of the weekend, with both teams setting their eyes on a playoff spot. If Cincinnati wins, it's over, as they will be 9-6 and secure of one of the two wild card spots, but the Steelers may need another win if they are triumphant here.

There's also a chance the winner of this game could snag the AFC North, if Baltimore loses to the Giants this week and Cincinnati beats them in Week 17.

With so much on the line, both teams will be geared up for a top effort. The Steelers are 8-2 SU and ATS their last 10 games against the Bengals, who are 0-7-2 ATS their last nine games against division foes.

Depite the Steelers' recent troubles, losing four of their last five, a win here at home seems likely, though it figures to be a close call.

Prediction: Steelers 24 Bengals 17

New England (-14 1/2, 49) at Jacksonville 1:00 pm - Let's see, Jacksonville is 2-12 and New England is 10-4 with the best offense in the league (36.1 ppg).

The Patriots are a positive 3-1-1 ATS their last five and are 5-2 SU on the road this season. The Jags haven't been able to get out of their own way on offense all season, scoring just 15.6 points per game on average.

A blowout by the Patriots is a near-certainty.

Prediction: Patriots 38 Jaguars 13

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Indianapolis (-7, 41 1/2) at Kansas City 1:00 pm - The Colts need one win to secure a wild card spot, and there's probably no better place to get the job done than in Kansas City, where the Chiefs are a woeful 1-6, including last week's 15-0 loss to the humble Raiders.

The issue for Indy is that they have not won a game by more than seven points all season, despite being 9-5. That's a trend that seems pretty stubborn, so against all better judgement, take the Chiefs to cover. They have absolutely no pressure on them and could conceivably register a win and lose out on the #1 pick in the draft, but probably, Indy wins by four.

Prediction: Colts 24 Chiefs 20

New Orleans at Dallas (-3, 51 1/2) 1:00 pm - This season was a clear disaster down in the Big Easy and the Saints have been out of playoff contention for a while, though they are still capable of springing the upset. Dallas continues to string along, and they are in fact tied with the Giants and Redskins in the NFC East, so winning is everything these final two games of the regular season.

Statistically, this stacks up pretty even, as the line indicates, so it's no slam-dunk for the Cowboys by any means. DE DeMarcus Ware is listed as questionable, so he's banged up, meaning Drew Brees may have more time in the pocket to slice and dice the Dallas secondary, a major concern.

One thing the Saints are is healthy, and a healthy team with the chance to ruin another squad's playoff chances is a solid play.

Prediction: Saints 34 Cowboys 31

Washington (-7, 45) at Philadelphia 1:00 pm - Robert Griffin III is still listed as questionable, but even if backup Kirk Cousins starts again, as he did last week against the Browns, the Redskins are playing with desire and determination. They have the inside track at winning the NFC East, having split with the Giants (who are stumbling badly) and already owning a win at Dallas (38-31) earlier in the season.

The 'Skins dumped the Eagles, 31-6, back in week 11, so although this is still a divisional contest, Washington has momentum and passion. They will take names here.

Prediction: Redskins 30 Eagles 16

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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