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NFL Pro Football 2012 Week 5 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 5 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | October 4-8, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Bye: Dallas Detroit Oakland Tampa

Thursday, October 4

Arizona (-1, 39) at St. Louis 8:20 pm - Surprising Arizona travels to the Gateway city to take on the somewhat surprise Rams, who have registered a couple of unexpected wins over the Redskins and Seattle to get to a 2-2 mark.

The game being for positioning in the NFC West, St. Louis can close the gap with a win, or on the flip side, a Cardinals victory gives them a further leg up in the standings and the head-to-head advantage.

Arizona has taken nine of the last ten over the past five years, a trend which seems very much in place, considering the tine line put out.

Prediction: Cardinals 24 Rams 21

Sunday, October 7

Atlanta (-2 1/2, 50 1/2) at Washington 1:00 pm - Another undefeated team - 4-0 Atlanta - taking on an upstart in the Redskins who appear to be a competitive team, though in deep with the talent in the NFC East.

Washington has been one team suffering from a bit of overzealousness by odds players, losing two of their last three ATS, while the Falcons are 3-1 ATS this season. There are always good and bad team plays and Atlanta seems to be one of the better ones this season, so sticking with them, giving less than a FG on the road is the appropriate action.

Prediction: Falcons 34 Redskins 27

Green Bay (-7 1/2, 47 1/2) at Indianapolis 1:00 pm - Another road favorite as vegas appears to be beginning to differentiate good teams from bad and the Packers looked like they were getting everything together in their Sunday afternoon, 28-27, victory over New Orleans.

Meanwhile, the Colts have put together a respectable 1-2 record with rookie QB Andrew Luck at the controls, though their last loss, 22-17 vs. Jacksonville was not excusable.

Indy is coming off a bye, however, and should be sufficiently schooled up on handling the Green Bay offense. Upsets are running rampant this season, and, even though the Colts may not win this one, the Packer defense is unlikely to keep them under wraps the entire 60 minutes.

Prediction: Packers 28 Colts 24

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Cleveland at NY Giants (-10, 44) 1:00 pm - Cleveland played extremely well last Thursday at Baltimore only to lose by a TD to the Ravens, 23-16, and fall to 0-4.

The 2-2 Giants lost a tough one at Philly, 19-17, but return home after two weeks on the road and should be able to victimize the Browns secondary at will.

While Cleveland has played well enough to not get blown out by anyone, their worst loss a 10-pont defeat at home by the Bills, the Giants are on the verge of a breakout game and should blow the Browns away.

Prediction: Giants 34 Cleveland 17

Tennessee at Minnesota (-5 1/2, 44) 1:00 pm - Shockingly, the Vikings are tied with the Bears at 3-1 atop the NFC North and can put their best foot forward with a home win against the Titans, the team with the worst point differential (-70) in the league.

The Titans are 1-3 and looking up at every other team in the weak AFC South, except Jacksonville, sharing the bottom with three losses. Christian Ponder continues to look very good as the second-year QB of the Vikings and the Titan defense has allowed an average of 37.8 points per game. Their 44-41 win over Detroit two weeks ago was against one of the weaker defenses in the NFL, while the Vikes have held their last two opponents - San Francisco and Detroit - to just 13 points apiece. This could get ugly early and late.

Prediction: Vikings 38 Titans 20

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Baltimore (-7, 46 1/2) at Kansas City 1:00 pm - 3-1 Baltimore travels to 1-3 Kansas City for the second time in two years and the Ravens have good memories of their 30-7 crushing of the Chiefs last season.

Since 2006, Baltimore has won three straight, two of them on KC land, and all three by a minimum of 10 points. The Chiefs are 2-5 their last seven games at home and did not come close to covering against either Atlanta nor San Diego this season in their pair of home games.

All the trend lines point to a solid Baltimore victory and a possible season-low output for the Chiefs.

Prediction: Ravens 27 Chiefs 10

Miami at Cincinnati (-3, 45) 1:00 pm - The Bengals are tied with the Ravens at 3-1 atop the AFC North and have the look of a team playing football at its highest level, with few mistakes and precision offense behind QB Andy Dalton, a true gamer.

Miami has just one win to its credit, a 35-13 mopping of the Raiders, but the last two losses - to the Jets and Cardinals - have each come by a mere three points, so they are playing competitively. The real difference here is in the passing game, where the Bengals have statistical advantages on both sides of the ball.

Miami could come close enough for a push here, but there's an equally good chance that the Bengals can put together a complete game and snuff out any Miami hope in the final quarter.

Prediction: Bengals 28 Dolphins 14

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (-3, 43) 1:00 pm - Any question as to why the Steelers are slight favorites at home should be addressed by this fact: Pittsburgh is 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games in Pittsburgh.

On the other hand, the Eagles are 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings with Pittsburgh. The 1-2 Steelers have two road losses and their one win coming at the expense of the Jets, 27-10, on September 16.

Philly is on fire after downing the Giants, 19-17 on Sunday night and should have one of its best defensive games of the year against the low-offense Steelers.

Prediction: Eagles 21 Steelers 16

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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