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NFL Pro Football 2012 Week 9 Picks

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Pro Football Week 9 Picks - late games


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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 9 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 1-5, 2012

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Bye: New England, NY Jets, San Francisco, St. Louis

Thursday, November 1

Kansas City at San Diego (-8, 43) 8:20 pm - Here's a game the struggling (especially after losing to Cleveland last week, 7-6) Chargers need to win, and, judging by the expansive spread, the oddsmakers believe they will.

The Chiefs have been wracked by injuries, but more by just shoddy play, as evidenced in their 26-16 home loss to the Raiders.

KC has lost four straight, the Chargers three in a row, though San Diego finds itself just one game behind the Broncos in the horrible AFC West. San Diego will likely win, but by a slim margin because the Chargers have had red zone issues all season long.

Prediction: Chargers 26 Chiefs 24

Sunday, November 4

Carolina at Washington (-3. 46 1/2) 1:00 pm - The Panthers and second year QB Cam Newton are suffering growing pains at 1-6, last week losing a heartbreaker to the Bears, blowing a 12-point lead in the fourth quarter, with Bears' kicker, Robbie Gould nailing a 41-yard FG for the 23-22 win.

Despite the solid and often heroic play of Robert Griffin III, the Redskins just seem overmatched recently, losing two straight, falling into last place in the NFC East.

The imaginary match-up of Newton vs. Griffith should light a fire under the Carolina QB, who has the ability to make plays and lead his team to a win, of he can shake off the negativity and play loose.

Prediction: Panthers 27 Redskins 24

Arizona at Green Bay (-11, 44) 1:00 pm - The Cardinals were stuffed by the 49ers on Monday night for their fourth consecutive loss and now must travel North to face the Packers, a team that has won three in a row, all by nine points or more.

While it is difficult to see the Cardinals winning on the semi-frozen tundra, the Packers are just 1-3 ATS at home this season and the Arizona defense has actually played well all season long and should be able to keep Green Bay in check.

The Packer defense is allowing 21.3 points and 238.3 yards passing per game, stats which fall comfortably into Arizona's lap. Upset looms large.

Prediction: Cardinals 23 Packers 20

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Detroit (-3 1/2, 44) at Jacksonville 1:00 pm - Jacksonville has lost four straight, but covered their last two, which may explain why this line is so short. Another factor may be the Lions' 1-7-1 record ATS their last nine road games. Last week, in Detroit's 28-24 win over Seattle, Matthew Stafford was magnificent, but his play, and that of the defense, has been spotty this season.

The Jags come off a pair of road losses, but their record at home is still 0-3, both SU and ATS.

Weighing it all up, Jacksonville needs to find a way to score more points, averaging just 14.7 per contest, and, with Maurice Jones-Drew nursing a foot injury that will be a difficult task for the offense. Jacksonville can spring the upset because Detroit's receivers are banged up, while the Jaguar secondary is pretty healthy.

Prediction: Jaguars 20 Lions 17

Chicago (-3 1/2, 43 1/2) at Tennessee 1:00 pm - 6-1 Chicago is seeking their fifth straight win, hoping to extend their lead in the NFC North over the Vikings and Packers, both two games back and should find many scoring opportunities against the Titans, whose defense is allowing 32.1 points per game, second-worst in the league, just 0.3 points better than the Bills.

Chicago's defense is giving up just 14.3 ppg, second-best behind the 49ers' 12.9, and this statistical imbalance overshadows all other stats, most of which favor the Bears anyhow.

On paper, this looks like a rout, and, unless weather or unforeseen injuries change matters materially, it will be.

Prediction: Bears 41 Titans 13

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Denver (-4, 47 1/2) at Cincinnati 1:00 pm - No team has been able to slow down the progress that Peyton Manning has made in his first season as Denver's QB, and the Bengals, losers of three straight, don't seem capable of keeping Manning and the Denver offense under wraps.

Denver has moved steadily up the offensive ladder, now fourth in the league in points scored, at an impressive 29.1 per game and the improvement continues seemingly with every game as Manning and his receivers become better acquainted.

Denver should continue to march forward maintaining their lead in the AFC West while the Bengals stall out.

Prediction: Broncos 34 Bengals 21

Baltimore (-4, 42 1/2) at Cleveland 1:00 pm - The Ravens are 9-1 against the Browns, dating back to 2007, and beat Cleveland, 23-16, just over a month ago, in Baltimore.

The Browns seemed to gain confidence from that loss, covering the 11-point spread handily, and have won their last two home games, 34-24 over the Bengals and 7-6, last week, over the Chargers.

Injuries and age are taking their tolls on the Ravens, especially on defense, as evidenced in last week's 43-13 mashing at Houston. Youth will be served as the Browns overcome their ADC North rivals and win again at home.

Baltimore is yielding 400 yards per game on defense, better than just four other NFL teams.

Prediction: Browns 27 Ravens 24

Buffalo at Houston (-10 1/2, 47 1/2) 1:00 pm - This should be the blowout of the week, as Buffalo has the worst defense in the league on a points allowed basis, giving up 32.4 per outing, while the Texans are taking no prisoners, sixth on defense and second offensively, scoring at a pace of 30.9 ppg.

Just like last season, the Bills are beginning to stagger to the finish, losing three of their last four, including last week's stunning, 35-34, home loss to the Titans, which may prove to be their undoing.

Against one of the NFL's elite squads, the Bills don't stand a chance.

Prediction: Texans 44 Bills 10

Miami (-2 1/2, 43) at Indianapolis 1:00 pm - Rookie QB Andrew Luck has exceeded expectations, guiding the Colts to a 4-3 record and a very competitive position for a playoff spot.

So too, the Dolphins are 4-3, after smashing up the Jets in New York, 30-, for their third straight victory.

The Colts have won their last two, and catch the Dolphins in their fourth road game in their last five, so a bit of fatigue may come into play. The Dolphins are six points better on defense than Indy, but are allowing a lot - 281 per game - of yardage through the air, which plays right into Luck's hand. Still, as the line indicates, this will be a close call.

Prediction: Colts 24 Dolphins 23

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2012, 2013, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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