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NFL Pro Football 2013 Week 7 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 7 Picks - Early Games

Welcome to the very best in winning NFL and College Football picks.
Rick Gagliano | October 17-20, 2013

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, October 17

(Byes: New Orleans, Oakland)

Seattle Seahawks (-6 1/2, 40) at Arizona Cardinals, 8:25 pm - If you're somewhat befuddled as to why Seattle isn't a heavier favorite, you're probably not alone, but oodles will drive the line over seven by game time, most assuredly.

However, the Cardinals are 2-0 at home, while the Seahawks are 2-1 on the road (5-1) overall, the loss coming two weeks ago at Indianapolis in a 34-28 defeat, so Seattle is quite impressive. The Seahawk schedule is interesting, because next week they play at St. Louis, making for the fifth road game in their first eight. They;ll play four of their final six at home, making them a near lock for the playoffs.

Getting back to the game at hand, Arizona was pretty well trampled by San Francisco last week, losing 32-20. Carson Palmer threw for 298 yards and two scores, but also lobbed up a pair of picks, giving him 11 on the season. Figure for him to throw two, maybe three more to Seahawk defenders, who already have nine. Sounds easy.

Prediction: Seahawks 28 Cardinals 13

Sunday, October 20

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-8 1/2, 43), 1:00 pm - As poorly as Atlanta has played, the Buccaneers may be worse, but the Atlanta defense is among the worst in the league, allowing 26.8 points per game, the majority of it through the air, while Tampa Bay is giving up just 20.2 points per contest.

Those stats underlie the fact that Tampa only scores an average of 12.8 points; the Falcons put up 24.4. Supposing that the Buccaneers' offense will make the Falcon defense look good, the choice would be Atlanta, but, the 0-5 Bucs have to stop losing at some point, so wouldn't this be as good a place as any. The Falcons are just 1-4, so a loss would tie the two for last place in the NFC South, not a pretty place to be.

Let's go out on a limb and suggest that the Tampa defense - and offense - won't completely implode like it did in the second half against the Eagles last week, turning a 17-14 lead at the break into a 31-20 defeat. They'll keep it close and maybe get win #1 of 2013.

Prediction: Buccaneers 24 Falcons 23

St. Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers (-7, 42), 1:00 pm - Didn't the Rams just beat the tar out of Houston, 38-13, last week? Yes, they did, so why are they a touchdown underdog?

Maybe because the Panthers completely smashed up the Vikings to the tune of a 35-10 victory and are at home, while the Rams are on the road for the second week in a row.

At 3-3, the Rams need a win to keep up in the rugged NFC West, while 2-3 Carolina can get to .500 with a win and remain in second place alone behind 5-1 New Orleans. Cam Newton looked like the real deal against the Vikings, but the Ram defense is better, though not nearly as good as Carolina's, allowing just 13.6 points per game, second-best in the NFL.

Outside of the 24 points the Panthers allowed at Buffalo, the most they've given up is 12, in an opening week loss to Seattle. Despite that, winning by more than a touchdown just doesn't seem probable.

Prediction: Panthers 20 Rams 17

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Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions (-2 1/2, 47), 1:00 pm - Last week, the Bengals allowed two late TDs at Buffalo, sending the game into OT, but managed to come away with the win, 27-24.

Detroit has no such issues with the Browns, trailing 17-7 at the half, Detroit scored 24 second half points and shut Cleveland out, for a 31-17 victory. Matthew Stafford threw for 248 yards and four TDs.

The Bengals are unpredictable at best, the offense sputtering at times and the defense losing track of receivers too often. If the Lions play their game offensively, they could blow this one open.

Prediction: Lions 34 Bengals 20

San Diego Chargers (-9, 45 1/2) at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 pm - Phillip Rivers may have the offense he always dreamed of and a defense to go with it. The Chargers completely shut down the Colts Monday night and looked efficient and poised doing so.

Rivers, meanwhile, penetrated the Indy defense enough to produce a TD and four Nick Novak field goals. He will likely get his team into the end zone with more frequency against the horrid Jaguars, who are allowing 33 points per game. Look for the Chargers to really open up the offense in a huge win.

Prediction: Chargers 34 Jaguars 10

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-7, 43), 1:00 pm - Miami has beaten the Bills three of the last four times they've met, which is twice a year, including their 24-10 thumping last season in Miami. Buffalo hasn't been able to generate consistent offense, but does sometimes score in sports, as displayed by their two fourth-quarter TDs against Cincinnati last week, in their 27-24 OT loss. Both teams have lost two straight, but the Dolphins are coming off a bye week, whereas the Bills have to travel and have untested Thad Lewis at QB, making just his third NFL start. The Bills wont' be able to crack the Miami defense often enough to stay in this game and the absence of their raucous home fans will be a detriment.

Prediction: Dolphins 27 Bills 14

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New England Patriots (-4, 43 1/2) at New York Jets, 1:00 pm - The Jets lost to the Patriots earlier this season (week 2), 13-10 in a rain-soaked game at Foxboro, and it could be raining again this weekend in Northern New Jersey.

Last week, in their 19-6 loss to the Steelers, New York's offense went dead in the second half, thanks to two interceptions thrown by Geno Smith and possession football by Pittsburgh, who managed their first win of the season.

The Patriots were handed their 30-27 late win over the Saints on a silver platter, improving to 5-1. The Jets have a W-L pattern that keeps repeating, thus far, W-L-W-L-W-L, so this week should - if the pattern holds - produce a win. The Jets' offense needs to pick it up a but and not put the defense in bad spots, because Tom Brady could pick them to pieces, but the defense should be able to put pressure on the NE hurler and produce an unlikely victory.

Prediction: Jets 19 Patriots 17

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-2 1/2, 55), 1:00 pm - This could possibly be the worst line of the week. The Dallas defense absolutely shut down Washington's offense last week, so they're capable of handling whatever Philly throws or runs at them.

Nick Foles has been outstanding in two games, replacing Michael Vick, and is probably the future for the Eagles' offense, which has gotten hot with back-to-back wins over the Giants and Tampa Bay.

Dallas has more weapons on offense than they need and the defense is really coming around. The teams are tied, at 3-3, for first place in the NFC East, and Dallas should take an edge with a win here.

Prediction: Cowboys 31 Eagles 24

Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins (even, 50), 1:00 pm - After the spectacular season RG3 had last year for the Redskins, he looks like a shadow of his former self after injury and rehab, though he is beginning to run more often, albeit with less abandon.

What's hurting the Redskins is the lack of a true speedster at wideout to stretch the defense, something the Bears can use to their advantage, seeking to stay in the hunt - with the Lions and Packers - for the NFC North, which just may be the best division in the league.

Washington has not won at home and are 1-4 overall, making it difficult to see how they manage to beat the Bears, even though they are at home. It might be worse for them to play in front of their own, local, loud and demanding fans, a strange advantage for the Bears.

Prediction: Bears 28 Redskins 16

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2013, 2014, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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