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NFL Pro Football 2006 Week 9 Picks
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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 10 Picks - Early Games
Rick Gagliano | 11/8/06
All times Eastern - Click here for late Sunday and Monday night games.
Sunday, November 12
1:00 pm Baltimore (-7, 38) at Tennessee - The Ravens must be regarded as a realistic playoff contender, especially after the resounding wins in their last two games (at New Orleans and home vs. Cincy). The rule of thumb is to take home divisional underdogs getting 6 or more points and Tennessee fits the bill here.
Tread cautiously though, as the Titans are only 2-6 and have struggled against strong defensive teams like the Ravens. San Diego, Dallas and most recently, Jacksonville all hammered them by 30 points or more. Looking for Vince Young and his teammates to play hard and keep this one close.
Prediction: Ravens 20 Titans 16
Prediction: Colts 31 Bills 10
The Browns keep improving every week and should cause problems for Vick and Co. In their last 6 games (1 W, 5 Ls), the Browns have lost by 10, 8, 7, 7, and 1 point, proving that they are trying to win. A mistake here or there by Atlanta could put this game in the precarious category, and that seems likely as the Falcons are very up-and-down week to week.
Prediction: Falcons 27 Browns 21
Minnesota is only one game ahead at 4-4, and their offense has sputtered all season long. In their 4 losses, the Vikings have scored an average of less than 10 points. In their wins, they average 23.
Since this is the first meeting of these divisional rivals this season, edge to the Vikings, who should have a field day against the shoddy secondary of the Packers. Also, Green Bay will not do well on the ground against Minnesota; they will become one-dimensional and predictable.
Prediction: Vikings 23 Packers 13
The Jags have won two straight with Garrard and are seeking revenge for their 27-7 beating by the Texans on Oct. 22. That was also the last time Byron Leftwich was the Jaguars' QB. Garrard is much more mobile and the rest of the team seems to respond to his leadership.
Houston has been playing pretty well of late, especially on defense, holding the Giants to just 14 points in last week's loss. Jacksonville, however, presents other problems, mainly an unstoppable running game and a stingy defense.
Prediction: Jaguars 30 Texans 17
The Dolphins actually have a slight statistical edge on defense, but even with Harrington at QB, the offense is struggling, mostly because they can't run the football (97.3 yards per game). While on paper this may look like a close call, on the field it's going to be dramatically different, with the Chiefs scoring a must win.
Prediction: Chiefs 31 Dolphins 19
Look for the Patriots to expand their lead in the division with a resounding home win.
Prediction: Patriots 28 Jets 14
The Chargers have caught Denver in the AFC West at 6-2, and while they are only 2-2 on the road, those two losses were both by 3 points, at Baltimore and Kansas City, two tough places to play.
Edge here to the Chargers, who are on their way to the playoffs and possibly beyond. They will simply win like they usually do, by outscoring the opponent.
Prediction: Chargers 35 Bengals 28
Credit San Francisco with a superlative defensive effort and a host of mistakes and turnovers by the Vikings. Minnesota actually lost the game more than San Fran won it.
Detroit has played improved football, winning two of their last three (both wins at home) and have an effective offense and the makings of a pretty good defense. I don't know the last time the Lions were nearly a TD favorite, but I'll take the bait. SF just looks bad everywhere.
Prediction: Lions 27 49ers 17
The Eagles haven't exactly been knocking people out. They've lost three straight, to New Orleans, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville. This is the first of two meetings between these divisional rivals and the games are usually close. There's a natural regional rivalry and plenty of bad blood on both sides.
Philly has the usual problem of not having a consistent offense, and Washington shares the same dilemma. In a game like this, look for turnvoer potential and the Redskins may have trouble holding onto the ball. The Eagles should get back on track with a few timely turnovers and a bunch of field goals though special teams will keep the 'Skins in the game.
Prediction: Eagles 26 Redskins 14
All times Eastern - Click here for late Sunday and Monday night games
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